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Sympthsical

(10,734 posts)

16. My "gut" sense has been right every major election

Mon Nov 7, 2022, 10:44 AM

Nov 2022

And that sense is really just something shaped by experience, knowledge, and discernible patterns of human behavior. (Seriously, people are not a mystery at all).

When Trump won in 2016, I was the guy thinking (but not saying) "Told you." When I told my friends 2020 would be frighteningly tight in the battlegrounds, they thought I was insane.

I really do not have any firm bold prediction sense of how tomorrow will go. The firmest intution I have is in a Republican House. My spidey sense says a close Democratic Senate.

I really do think we may see an election decided by the little things in the tightest of races. A storm here. A cold snap there. Little turn out factors could have outsized influence.

There is the tiniest voice in my head going, "Maybe Dobbs really is hidden in all this." But whether that is true or exists as a bit of copium running for things I wish to be true remains to be seen.

We'll see what we see.

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I Am An Intuitive Person [View all] gab13by13 Nov 2022 OP

Thanks for this. I too feel that tomorrow will be good. Demsrule86 Nov 2022 #1

I watched you during the presidential primaries. You were unwavering. I was thinking Scrivener7 Nov 2022 #10

I hope you are right claudette Nov 2022 #2

We will the Universe together for a big blueTsunami! Bluethroughu Nov 2022 #3

✔️ ✔️ ✔️ ✔️ ✔️ n/t msfiddlestix Nov 2022 #4

I've been feeling it, too..... Karadeniz Nov 2022 #5

Other ways of knowing NJCher Nov 2022 #6

I couldn't agree more, Cher! SheltieLover Nov 2022 #12

Yes, and when you do, think of Democrats rejoicing Qutzupalotl Nov 2022 #50

Hahaha! SheltieLover Nov 2022 #51

I saw him too. BonnieJW Nov 2022 #68

DU can be unfriendly place to those of us who don't declare childfreebychoice Nov 2022 #72

DU C's be unfriendly place to those of us who declare childfreebychoice Nov 2022 #73

What are "DU C"s"? whathehell Nov 2022 #79

Same question. Dark n Stormy Knight Nov 2022 #85

Thank you. nt Chalco Nov 2022 #7

I'm one of those people who, when I'm driving with someone, if I say, "I think it's Scrivener7 Nov 2022 #8

I am the one in the family True Blue American Nov 2022 #57

I can glance at a map and be fine, but I have no sense of direction. Scrivener7 Nov 2022 #58

I was asked how I do that. True Blue American Nov 2022 #59

Our brains have special cells for navigation intrepidity Nov 2022 #77

I have that issue too, nevertheless, I am quite intuitive. BTW... Trueblue Texan Nov 2022 #78

Now, I need to see a study True Blue American Nov 2022 #90

You too malaise Nov 2022 #114

I first discovered True Blue American Nov 2022 #125

that's lacking a sense of direction barbtries Nov 2022 #81

Agree. n/t LuckyCharms Nov 2022 #9

Election Day 2022 is about Americans' answer to January 6, 2021 bucolic_frolic Nov 2022 #11

Good way to look at it. gab13by13 Nov 2022 #13

Absolutely! SheltieLover Nov 2022 #14

Good to read that you are feeling so confident. Katinfl Nov 2022 #15

My "gut" sense has been right every major election Sympthsical Nov 2022 #16

My "experience" in this election: Voters aren't excited LeftInTX Nov 2022 #38

Do you think that's local to Texas? Sympthsical Nov 2022 #47

This area is very Catholic and Hispanic. There are many pro-life Hispanic Democrats, so we will see LeftInTX Nov 2022 #49

Can I say that Pro-life doesn't always mean anti-choice. PA_jen Nov 2022 #116

He's a Democrat running in Texas, for christ sake... DemocraticPatriot Nov 2022 #105

Lord we hope you are right!:) True Blue American Nov 2022 #91

I appreciate this positive feeling, but your Steelers vibe is a pretty safe bet in any case! Orrex Nov 2022 #17

Yeah, a little humor helps. gab13by13 Nov 2022 #35

:thumbsup: Orrex Nov 2022 #70

Not to brag, Ok to brag. I called the election of BO after his speach at the DNC. Prairie_Seagull Nov 2022 #18

I'm in Florida and kind of bummed out at Charlie Crist's numbers. Double digit below DeSantis and SheilaAnn Nov 2022 #19

Youth is way underrepresented in all polls. Prairie_Seagull Nov 2022 #28

I remember seeing a virtually unknown Jimmy Carter on a daytime news talk show Just A Box Of Rain Nov 2022 #22

My head told me Hillary would win, yet I couldn't imagine her taking the Oath of Office LeftInTX Nov 2022 #52

Oh, God, me, too! ShazzieB Nov 2022 #95

I know for certain that I have not fully recovered from that night. Just A Box Of Rain Nov 2022 #96

Comey made that happen Bettie Nov 2022 #118

He didn't help, but it was Susan Sarandon. Just A Box Of Rain Nov 2022 #120

Do you really believe that people take orders from Bettie Nov 2022 #121

Expand the concept. Just A Box Of Rain Nov 2022 #122

And yet, I still fail to see how one Bettie Nov 2022 #123

Now you are catching on. Just A Box Of Rain Nov 2022 #124

Are you Rebl2 Nov 2022 #34

Yes and I was in a roomfull of POC for a watch party and only one Prairie_Seagull Nov 2022 #40

I'm white, not intuitive, but said the same as you. moonscape Nov 2022 #87

Yeah..Obama's once in a life time LeftInTX Nov 2022 #44

I miss him and his family. Prairie_Seagull Nov 2022 #56

I know I came flying out of the Lazy Boy True Blue American Nov 2022 #60

I took a photo of my tv screen when they announced, Prairie_Seagull Nov 2022 #65

Collectors item! True Blue American Nov 2022 #75

the reason we still have our 15-year-old DVR box is that I recorded that night in 2008 renate Nov 2022 #107

I called my little kids in to watch and told them--That man will be POTUS someday. panader0 Nov 2022 #127

So does DownriverDem Nov 2022 #20

As my former he-who-shall-not-be-named husband, liked to say PWPippinesq Nov 2022 #21

I may have made a mistake Traildogbob Nov 2022 #23

Vote orangecrush Nov 2022 #24

I posted my vibe--belief--on another thread mnhtnbb Nov 2022 #25

Women and men that care about them KS Toronado Nov 2022 #42

My vibes are joining your vibes peggysue2 Nov 2022 #26

I don't want to be accused of... reACTIONary Nov 2022 #27

I would like to know what she smokes grantcart Nov 2022 #74

so here's a little story. barbtries Nov 2022 #29

If Roe wasn't enough, their vocalized plans to get a national abortion ban through should be. Native Nov 2022 #43

I have Democrats who are responding the opposite LeftInTX Nov 2022 #46

Jeebus Native Nov 2022 #48

Man, why do you live there? Wibly Nov 2022 #98

I live in San Antonio, Texas LeftInTX Nov 2022 #102

that's what I'm thinking. barbtries Nov 2022 #80

I think the close of polling stations tomorrow PM....... jaxexpat Nov 2022 #30

I hope you're right!!! CaptainTruth Nov 2022 #31

..and I. Septua Nov 2022 #100

Head down, eye on the back of the ball. rubbersole Nov 2022 #32

Smooth it is the key gab13by13 Nov 2022 #39

Good for you! rubbersole Nov 2022 #53

Funny, gab13by13 Nov 2022 #63

Getting 20-30 yards on the par 3s was the big bonus. rubbersole Nov 2022 #71

Zen and the art of golf. I get to pissed when I miss a shot I know I can make. Prairie_Seagull Nov 2022 #126

Let us all hope you are right! n/t PatrickforB Nov 2022 #33

I feel like we are going to win more senate seats than we expected kimbutgar Nov 2022 #36

Love your post. Have sent my positive vibes up as well. iluvtennis Nov 2022 #37

:grouphug: elleng Nov 2022 #41

From your keyboard to God's ears! peppertree Nov 2022 #45

A blue wave is about to rain down on the GOP Joinfortmill Nov 2022 #54

I feel pretty calm about tomorrow. I know we are going to keep the senate. The house, I don't PortTack Nov 2022 #55

I feel sure as well although Oklahoma is a magat haven. yellerpup Nov 2022 #61

and as fewer and fewer people answer their phones, the percentage of conservatives goes up Rabrrrrrr Nov 2022 #62

From this post to Dog's ears. Probatim Nov 2022 #64

I hope that you're right! Island Blue Nov 2022 #66

The only hope I take is Republicans are liars BradAllison Nov 2022 #67

Let them believe their own lies about space lasers and the vote being rigged. usonian Nov 2022 #69

I'm also very intuitive... Trueblue Texan Nov 2022 #76

Millions of women voted Republican for years ScratchCat Nov 2022 #82

Speaking of women being silent. . . Collimator Nov 2022 #97

Check out Jeanne Mayell's website. It's a group just like yourself. nattyice Nov 2022 #83

DITTO magicksmom Nov 2022 #84

Hopefully we can revisit this thread Dorian Gray Nov 2022 #86

Love it! Sogo Nov 2022 #88

Thank you for posting much needed optimism. PINK WAVE!! onetexan Nov 2022 #89

You are not alone! Stuart G Nov 2022 #92

Same here! BigmanPigman Nov 2022 #93

Thank you for that! SilverDawg Nov 2022 #94

Good. I will borrow your good feelings, mine have been fearful. TigressDem Nov 2022 #99

I really hope so, but... LudwigPastorius Nov 2022 #101

In my family, we always look to my nephew for guidance on elections liberal_mama Nov 2022 #103

I pray that you are right. DemocraticPatriot Nov 2022 #104

As an aside, Abolishinist Nov 2022 #106

I hope your right samplegirl Nov 2022 #108

❤️ ✿❧🌿❧✿ ❤️ Lucinda Nov 2022 #109

I hope that your intuition is right. I'm keeping my feet on the ground. CentralMass Nov 2022 #110

Finally a positive post, thank goodness. I also share your enthusiasm from across the pond. akbacchus_BC Nov 2022 #111

I can't be optimistic. betsuni Nov 2022 #112

Please try, I dont want to ever see another 2016. I know we can only hope that decency will prevail. akbacchus_BC Nov 2022 #113

But Americans! My stomach hurts when I think of what could happen. betsuni Nov 2022 #115

Don't despair, let's be positive. We all want this mid-term elections akbacchus_BC Nov 2022 #117

I would gladly sacrifice an entire Steelers season for Dem majorities in Congress JustABozoOnThisBus Nov 2022 #119