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kpete

(72,897 posts)
Thu May 5, 2022, 09:29 AM May 2022

There really is zero doubt now that the leak came from the right [View all]

After Politico’s exclusive on Monday night publishing the draft Alito majority opinion, CNN followed rapidly that same evening with very specific details about Roberts’ position on the case, resisting joining the majority opinion and perhaps trying to lure one of the five Justices to a narrower ruling. When that second story came out so quickly I said that it made me think that the breakdown of secrecy on this case went beyond the leak of the draft opinion. Reading the Journal OpEd from last week makes that basically a certainty.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/abortion-and-the-supreme-court-dobbs-v-jackson-mississippi-john-roberts-11651009292

Read the Journal oped. It walks very clearly through the current deliberations of the Court, including Roberts’ effort to bring at least one hardliner over to a more limited, though still highly restrictionist, ruling.

These three paragraphs stand out, especially in the light of the reporting from Monday night …

But Chief Justice John Roberts tried during the oral argument to find a middle way. He appeared to want to sustain the Mississippi law on grounds that it doesn’t violate Casey’s test of whether there is an “undue burden” on the ability to obtain an abortion. If he pulls another Justice to his side, he could write the plurality opinion that controls in a 6-3 decision. If he can’t, then Justice Thomas would assign the opinion and the vote could be 5-4. Our guess is that Justice Alito would then get the assignment.

The Justices first declare their votes on a case during their private conference after oral argument, but they can change their mind. That’s what the Chief did in the ObamaCare case in 2012, much to the dismay of the other conservatives. He may be trying to turn another Justice now.

We hope he doesn’t succeed—for the good of the Court and the country. The Chief’s middle ground might be explainable with some legal dexterity, but it would prolong the Court’s abortion agony. Critics on the left would still lambaste the Court for letting Mississippi’s law stand. And states would soon pass more laws with even narrower restrictions that would eventually force the Justices to overturn Roe and Casey or say the precedents stand on solid ground.


I’ve done a bit of this myself in the past. You string out what you’ve learned to be the fact of the matter as a series of hypotheticals and logical deductions. It’s very clear that the jockeying among the six Republican appointees has been shared in the elite GOP legal circles that have a direct line into the Journal oped page. Clear as day. And that tells you pretty much to a certainty what was already seeming fairly clear: that the leak came from determined anti-Roe advocates trying to lock in Alito’s ‘take no prisoners’ elimination of Roe. Clear as day.

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/a-journel-oped-from-last-week-tells-the-tale-on-the-alito-leak


Josh Marshall
@joshtpm

Going to write a bit more about this after a meeting. But now clear that conservative legal types thought the feral WSJ ed board had been leaked details abt the Mississippi case and even the Alito opinion itself last week before Politico even published its exclusive.

2/ There really is zero doubt now that the leak came from the right and - even more telling - that the the pressure campaign AND the leak was something of an open secret on the right.



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You mean Mitch, Ted and Lindsey weren't serious when they promised the leaker would be jailed? sop May 2022 #1
It is just their form of projection again, blaming dems for something they Bev54 May 2022 #12
Jailed for what? What law was broken? wnylib May 2022 #14
That's what I told my wife days ago. They'd have to jail half of DC for leaks Bengus81 May 2022 #21
Diversion from the upcoming J6 hearings/reports, too. wnylib May 2022 #22
Their unified projection onto the left told me what I needed to know underpants May 2022 #2
Why'd they shop it exclusively to Politico? Budi May 2022 #3
Whoever leaked it had to be absolutely sure he/she would not be identified. Lochloosa May 2022 #6
I've been wondering that myself, but maybe it's because leaking it to Ocelot II May 2022 #7
I think it was an inside job with 2 fold opportunities for Politico. Budi May 2022 #10
100% flamingdem May 2022 #18
There seems to be many, very varied, conflicting, wide ranging opinions on the leak. empedocles May 2022 #4
My bet is on Neil Gorsuch turning. ProudMNDemocrat May 2022 #5
It's should have been plainly evident Docreed2003 May 2022 #8
Agree. Duppers May 2022 #9
Exactly. I agree with Jen Psaki. wnylib May 2022 #15
It could have just been a guess. An easy one at that. twodogsbarking May 2022 #11
The RWNJ have a different target for the leak. usaf-vet May 2022 #13
An obvious dog whistle for the Magats. Meadowoak May 2022 #20
I had been trying to find the WSJ editorial BumRushDaShow May 2022 #16
Kick dalton99a May 2022 #17
maybe it was bdamomma May 2022 #19
i hate to be pedantic but who cares where the leak came from Mr. Sparkle May 2022 #23
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