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Showing Original Post only (View all)There really is zero doubt now that the leak came from the right [View all]
After Politicos exclusive on Monday night publishing the draft Alito majority opinion, CNN followed rapidly that same evening with very specific details about Roberts position on the case, resisting joining the majority opinion and perhaps trying to lure one of the five Justices to a narrower ruling. When that second story came out so quickly I said that it made me think that the breakdown of secrecy on this case went beyond the leak of the draft opinion. Reading the Journal OpEd from last week makes that basically a certainty.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/abortion-and-the-supreme-court-dobbs-v-jackson-mississippi-john-roberts-11651009292
Read the Journal oped. It walks very clearly through the current deliberations of the Court, including Roberts effort to bring at least one hardliner over to a more limited, though still highly restrictionist, ruling.
These three paragraphs stand out, especially in the light of the reporting from Monday night
Ive done a bit of this myself in the past. You string out what youve learned to be the fact of the matter as a series of hypotheticals and logical deductions. Its very clear that the jockeying among the six Republican appointees has been shared in the elite GOP legal circles that have a direct line into the Journal oped page. Clear as day. And that tells you pretty much to a certainty what was already seeming fairly clear: that the leak came from determined anti-Roe advocates trying to lock in Alitos take no prisoners elimination of Roe. Clear as day.
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/a-journel-oped-from-last-week-tells-the-tale-on-the-alito-leak
These three paragraphs stand out, especially in the light of the reporting from Monday night
But Chief Justice John Roberts tried during the oral argument to find a middle way. He appeared to want to sustain the Mississippi law on grounds that it doesnt violate Caseys test of whether there is an undue burden on the ability to obtain an abortion. If he pulls another Justice to his side, he could write the plurality opinion that controls in a 6-3 decision. If he cant, then Justice Thomas would assign the opinion and the vote could be 5-4. Our guess is that Justice Alito would then get the assignment.
The Justices first declare their votes on a case during their private conference after oral argument, but they can change their mind. Thats what the Chief did in the ObamaCare case in 2012, much to the dismay of the other conservatives. He may be trying to turn another Justice now.
We hope he doesnt succeedfor the good of the Court and the country. The Chiefs middle ground might be explainable with some legal dexterity, but it would prolong the Courts abortion agony. Critics on the left would still lambaste the Court for letting Mississippis law stand. And states would soon pass more laws with even narrower restrictions that would eventually force the Justices to overturn Roe and Casey or say the precedents stand on solid ground.
Ive done a bit of this myself in the past. You string out what youve learned to be the fact of the matter as a series of hypotheticals and logical deductions. Its very clear that the jockeying among the six Republican appointees has been shared in the elite GOP legal circles that have a direct line into the Journal oped page. Clear as day. And that tells you pretty much to a certainty what was already seeming fairly clear: that the leak came from determined anti-Roe advocates trying to lock in Alitos take no prisoners elimination of Roe. Clear as day.
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/a-journel-oped-from-last-week-tells-the-tale-on-the-alito-leak
Josh Marshall
@joshtpm
Going to write a bit more about this after a meeting. But now clear that conservative legal types thought the feral WSJ ed board had been leaked details abt the Mississippi case and even the Alito opinion itself last week before Politico even published its exclusive.
2/ There really is zero doubt now that the leak came from the right and - even more telling - that the the pressure campaign AND the leak was something of an open secret on the right.
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