Don't Worry About National Polls...........Yet

[NCDem60]

Poll after poll shows McCain running close to both Obama and Clinton. They are wrong. What is happening is when people are polled some Clinton supporters are voting McCain rather than Obama and the same thing is occurring with some Obama supporters refusing at present to vote for Clinton in a poll. There are a couple of reasons for this. One is some are just flat out angry as you can tell from many posts here. The other, more rational and political reason, is each side's supporters want their candidate to look stronger against McCain so they help their candidate by supporting McCain rather than the other Democrat.

Once a nominee is chosen most of this will go away. Tempers will cool amid calls for reconciliation and the other reason will disappear entirely. The Democratic nominee, Obama or Clinton, will quickly jump to about a 60/40 advantage and that is where the real campaign will begin. News media will call it a surge of support but it will have been there all the time.

[Mojambo]

1. That's a pretty good point. n/t

[rocktivity]

2. You can't have a legitimate head-to-head matchup when one side has more than one head.

As long as there's a "choice" of Dem candidate available, pitting any of them against the "lone" Repub candidate is statistically meaningless at best and inherently dishonest at worst. We can worry about the national polls AFTER there is one Dem and one Repub candidate.

:headbang:
rocknation

[lyonn]

4. Clever analogy. nt

[caledesi]

3. Well said! nt