New Nevada Poll: Bernie 35, Elizabeth 16, Pete 15, Joe 14

[squirecam]

40. I think both polls today were wrong

I didn’t think Bernie dropped to 13% in the first poll. I don’t think he’s at 35% here.

But what I found interesting was the cross tabs for the second and third choices. Bernie came in last for both second and third choices.

What that tells me is what I’ve said before. That Bernie has the most enthusiastic supporters, but an equal group who don’t like him. As Nevada is a caucus, his best round will always be the first. The other candidates will gain more support during the second round.

I think the RJ poll, which is in the “middle” of both of these polls, is a better judge of where the race is.