John Lauritis: The Math of The Convention

[hopemountain]

https://johnlaurits.com/2016/06/15/the-math-of-the-convention/

The Math of the Convention


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The National Convention:
The Math, as it stands on June 15th

The Straight Numbers

First of all, for those of you who may not have heard — C/inton has not clinched the nomination & Super-delegates do not vote until July 25th. She does not have the 2,383 pledged delegates that are needed to clinch — nor will she, as there are no more primaries. Anyone who says otherwise is either a liar or they simply don’t know what they’re talking about.

As of now, June 15th, according to the Green Papers (bookmark them, they’ll never lie to you like the NYT does), the pledged delegate count stands thusly:

Bernie Sanders | 1,833 / 45.2%
Hillary Clinton | 2,218 / 54.8%

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Something to Keep in Mind…

Remember: now that all of the 4,051 pledged delegates are “accounted for” (they shouldn’t be, but that’s another issue…), every delegate that we gain — whether from state conventions, from recounts, from updated California results, or from whatever else — each delegate is taken from $hillary’s total and added to Bernie Sanders’ total. In other words, while there are 385 delegates between C/inton & Sanders, we only need half of that number to catch up — make sense? We don’t need to gain 385 delegates — we only need to gain 193 delegates to take the lead.

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....more at link


it is a two way street at the convention. otherwise, it is not democratic.