2016 Postmortem

pipoman

(16,038 posts)

9. You must be mistaking me for someone else

Fri Dec 18, 2015, 10:11 AM

Dec 2015

I am familiar with the primary process and have seen several front runners at this point crash and burn prior to the actual primaries. I have seen the front runner on the Monday before the vote end Tuesday in second or third place many times...

Again, anyone who thinks polling today has any bearing on the outcome in IA or NH simply hasn't paid attention to the primary process without an incumbent.

Iowa voters are notorious poll liars and many won't actually decide who they are voting for until a week before the primary...

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Still Time and Space for Sanders, or Even O'Malley, to Catch Clinton in Iowa [View all] bigtree Dec 2015 OP

Indeed, anyone who has been following my writing this year knows that I think Clinton is a near-lock VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #1

most of us are forgetting bigtree Dec 2015 #4

you just keep telling yourself that VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #5

I will bigtree Dec 2015 #8

Anyone who thinks it is over are just too young to remember other pipoman Dec 2015 #2

She is within 2 points in New Hampshire now VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #3

Which would be important if today were NH or IA primary day... pipoman Dec 2015 #6

but it Sanders were within 2 in South Carolina VanillaRhapsody Dec 2015 #7

You must be mistaking me for someone else pipoman Dec 2015 #9

I keep hearing folks say bigtree Dec 2015 #10

I am a Clinton supporter and I know that this race is not over Gothmog Dec 2015 #12

that's the smart thing to do bigtree Dec 2015 #13

I was tempted to go to Iowa Gothmog Dec 2015 #14

I agree ismnotwasm Dec 2015 #18

Nate Silver is correct Gothmog Dec 2015 #11

kick bigtree Dec 2015 #15

HUGE K & R !!! - THANK YOU !!! WillyT Dec 2015 #16

If you read Nate Silver on a consistent basis, this is not anything that is new Gothmog Dec 2015 #19

» bigtree Dec 2015 #17

I hope. bigwillq Dec 2015 #20

I don't pay much attention to national polls as they are more jwirr Dec 2015 #21