2016 Postmortem

CalvinballPro

(1,019 posts)

29. Not to mention they were only polling likely Democratic voters and didn't factor independents...

Reply to stevenleser (Reply #17)

Wed Mar 30, 2016, 12:58 PM

Mar 2016

...and in an open primary, no less. Polling malpractice, in other words.

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538: It’s Really Hard To Get Bernie Sanders 988 More Delegates [View all] RandySF Mar 2016 OP

Keep on trying to discourage & demoralize Merryland Mar 2016 #1

Why is stating thoughtful analysis "discouraging" and "demoralizing" brooklynite Mar 2016 #2

Well we thought she had this wrapped up... GeorgiaPeanuts Mar 2016 #3

When someone has to resort to a personal insult, I usually assume they've lost the argument. brooklynite Mar 2016 #4

She does. The thing is there seem to be a number of people who joined DU DanTex Mar 2016 #5

Don't you get tired of repeating that over and over... GeorgiaPeanuts Mar 2016 #8

Of course Trump supporters are entitled to their opinion. Never claimed otherwise. DanTex Mar 2016 #10

And another to go on ignore n/t JesterCS Mar 2016 #47

Bernie or Bust, is that you? Are you a person who ascribes to that? Jackie Wilson Said Mar 2016 #55

Nope GeorgiaPeanuts Mar 2016 #59

Wait, what does that mean? Will you or will you not vote for Hillary if she is picked? Jackie Wilson Said Mar 2016 #60

"New Democrats"... GeorgiaPeanuts Mar 2016 #63

So someone who wont vote for the Democratic Party in arguably the worst time Jackie Wilson Said Mar 2016 #65

The rightward March is what is killing the party... GeorgiaPeanuts Mar 2016 #66

So were you to be in a swing state you will facilitate a GOP White House, got it. Jackie Wilson Said Mar 2016 #67

Insanity is doing the same thing over again... GeorgiaPeanuts Mar 2016 #68

So yes, you believe a Trump or Cruz presidency is not all that bad. Got it. Jackie Wilson Said Mar 2016 #70

I'm not playing your hypothetical game GeorgiaPeanuts Mar 2016 #72

So do you have friends or family in other states? Do you tell them to risk the White House Jackie Wilson Said Mar 2016 #73

You don't go left by going right, either. AgadorSparticus Mar 2016 #75

You have me scratching my head now.... FarPoint Mar 2016 #81

Let it go man SheenaR Mar 2016 #14

Welcome to DU, but I was doing just fine before you showed up and started giving me posting advice. DanTex Mar 2016 #19

Here's my take on DU's alleged Bernie or Bust population LonePirate Mar 2016 #40

Some may be GOP trolls Demsrule86 Mar 2016 #64

Indeed! FarPoint Mar 2016 #77

Let me check join date here... Godhumor Mar 2016 #18

...and the snarky one liners continues. n/t Sheepshank Mar 2016 #37

Do you follow me around waiting for me to make a snarky comment? GeorgiaPeanuts Mar 2016 #45

I don't follow you. What an absolutely ridiculous premise Sheepshank Mar 2016 #46

Math reality is what it is upaloopa Mar 2016 #30

Please realize... FarPoint Mar 2016 #76

for Who? reddread Mar 2016 #6

for The Pet Shop Boys! closeupready Mar 2016 #39

that was super cool, thanks reddread Mar 2016 #44

Impossible, actually. nt onehandle Mar 2016 #7

Impossible has a specific meaning and you aren't using it correctly. morningfog Mar 2016 #12

Yes SheenaR Mar 2016 #15

It's possible that Elvis will call CNN from Mars RandySF Mar 2016 #20

And here's another person who doesn't understand the meaning of the simple word morningfog Mar 2016 #23

Superdelegates RampageSnipa586 Mar 2016 #9

She agreed to debate in NY before the primary... GeorgiaPeanuts Mar 2016 #11

Nothing in that post is true upaloopa Mar 2016 #34

Not if Bernie calls her out on all the lies she's told. nt RampageSnipa586 Mar 2016 #84

Isn't it 528 that screwed up big-time when predicting Michigan? n/t woodsprite Mar 2016 #13

538 and all the polling agencies on which they depend. Which is pretty much everyone. stevenleser Mar 2016 #17

Like NY and CA? morningfog Mar 2016 #24

CA was contested in 2008 JI7 Mar 2016 #54

Not to mention they were only polling likely Democratic voters and didn't factor independents... CalvinballPro Mar 2016 #29

Exactly. When you look at the Dems only vote, then their model was right. n/t Yavin4 Mar 2016 #61

But it isnt fully over yet, so I wish both groups would just allow the candidates to do Jackie Wilson Said Mar 2016 #57

Math.... HumanityExperiment Mar 2016 #16

Three things paulthompson Mar 2016 #21

Silver gives Hillary a 86% chance of winning California hack89 Mar 2016 #25

Right, but... paulthompson Mar 2016 #32

So you retract your second point? The one that depends on Silver's analysis? nt hack89 Mar 2016 #36

What? paulthompson Mar 2016 #41

And by the way... paulthompson Mar 2016 #43

You seem to be confusing odds of winning with amount won mythology Mar 2016 #48

No paulthompson Mar 2016 #50

Not true Demsrule86 Mar 2016 #78

Illinois Demsrule86 Mar 2016 #79

BREAKING NEWS: it's really hard to win. File under "The Chelsea Clinton Discoveries," closeupready Mar 2016 #22

Bernie Sanders' Path to the Nomination SHRED Mar 2016 #26

It certainly looks possible. Vincardog Mar 2016 #28

More possible than the HRC camp let's on SHRED Mar 2016 #31

When to going gets tough... Vincardog Mar 2016 #33

So, he's going to win NY, PA and NJ? Garrett78 Mar 2016 #58

What are you guys talking about? DemocracyDirect Mar 2016 #27

A revolution is not about delegates. mmonk Mar 2016 #35

Oh that pesky MATH UMTerp01 Mar 2016 #38

It will be almost impossible for Sanders to meet these targets Gothmog Mar 2016 #42

Yes it is really hard ibegurpard Mar 2016 #49

What is the harm of Bernie continuing? I think it makes both her and Hillary stronger. Jackie Wilson Said Mar 2016 #51

Hillary will not be President. Optimism Mar 2016 #52

Not Bernie Demsrule86 Mar 2016 #80

No one ever said it would be easy awake Mar 2016 #53

#FeelTheMath lunamagica Mar 2016 #56

It's math folks Demsrule86 Mar 2016 #62

K&R mcar Mar 2016 #69

Sanders has a huge campaign account KingFlorez Mar 2016 #71

DU rec... SidDithers Mar 2016 #74

now, you realize Bernie supporters are going to spit on you shoes for that, you horrrible person you Bill USA Mar 2016 #82

Everything he has achieved has been really hard. PowerToThePeople Mar 2016 #83