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Economy

progree

(11,915 posts)

4. All the numbers that are reported in these reports by the media and BLS main narrative are seasonally adjusted ...

Reply to bucolic_frolic (Reply #3)

Thu Mar 6, 2025, 09:26 PM

Mar 6

but they don't further adjust for special factors like this January being the coldest in most of the U.S. for years, or for Christmas being mid-week vs. on a weekend and such.

(they do have not-seasonally-adjusted numbers as well, but the media's and the BLS news release's main narrative are seasonally adjusted numbers)

Example: Nonfarm Payroll Employment

Seasonally adjusted: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001

Not Seasonally adjusted: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CEU0000000001

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February jobs report is expected to show hiring uptick, unemployment rate holding steady [View all] mahatmakanejeeves Mar 6 OP

And you believe that............... Lovie777 Mar 6 #1

Lol riiiiiigghtttttt..... Basso8vb Mar 6 #2

I hear the current slump is seasonal. Last 3 weeks of March are often the best of the year. /nt bucolic_frolic Mar 6 #3

All the numbers that are reported in these reports by the media and BLS main narrative are seasonally adjusted ... progree Mar 6 #4