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progree

(11,926 posts)
13. The PPI is quite volatile (edited)
Thu May 15, 2025, 09:39 AM
May 15

Last edited Thu May 15, 2025, 10:44 AM - Edit history (2)

This is a month-by-month graph I made in March when the February numbers came out.

from: https://www.democraticunderground.com/10143416825#post6
which also shows the core PPI (ex food, energy, and trade services) graphs.

I note also that April's core PPI (ex food and energy) is +0.4%, and that the Federal Reserve is much more focused on core measures than the "everything" headline measure. Edit: Correction: MINUS 0.4%, thanks Bernardo. 0.4% is a worrisome drop for one month, especially since the less food & energy core is considerably less volatile than the regular PPi number. On the other hand, the core measure that the BLS highlights: the one ex food, energy, and trade services, is down a considerably less precipitous 0.1%. Trade services is very volatile month-to-month which is why the BLS (and presumably the Fed) prefers a core measure without it.

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You see that word "unexpectantly" is what makes me wonder gab13by13 May 15 #1
Yup. The MarketWatch calendar's group of economists were predicting +0.3% in April for both the regular and core progree May 15 #3
I think reflex cynicism is as bad as reflex credulity. Both should be avoided Bernardo de La Paz May 15 #4
This is very good news for the regime -- wholesale prices dropping by 0.5% in April progree May 15 #6
Prices going down is deflationary. That is NOT good. Case of "careful what you wish for". Bernardo de La Paz May 15 #7
Not what I heard the head of the LA port say yesterday, gab13by13 May 15 #10
He said there "might" be a rush to stock up. Tariffs on most Chinese stuff is 50% (20% pre-existing + 30% tRump) Bernardo de La Paz May 15 #11
Everything I read is that the tariffs on most Chinese goods is 30% -- the 10% universal tariff plus 20% as a sanction progree May 15 #12
Everyone I listened to said the tariff was 30% also. gab13by13 May 15 #14
The PPI is quite volatile (edited) progree May 15 #13
Core PPI ex food&energy is down 0.4%, is it not? Month on month. Annualized it is up 3.1%, which is less than 4.0% March Bernardo de La Paz May 15 #15
I'm getting my Core PPI wo food & energy from Table A "Less Foods and Energy" progree May 15 #16
Very interesting to see the Jan-Apr month to month. Had not seen that together before. Thanks! . . . . nt Bernardo de La Paz May 15 #2
I'm glad you found it helpful 😊 progree May 15 #5
This also helps Krasnov push Powell gab13by13 May 15 #8
"This also helps Krasnov push Powell to cut interest rates." - for sure /nt progree May 15 #9
Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Economy»US wholesale prices unexp...»Reply #13