to hand over the leadership at any time in the future, I'm sure Paul Keating and Peter Costello would have a good laugh. Even having witnesses to such an arrangement (with little notes put in their wallets), it just doesn't happen.
Do you honestly believe that Rudd would have stepped down of his own accord 12 months after the 2010 election? You've seen over the last 2 weeks how relentlessly ambitious he is. Even when knowing that he didn't have a snowball's chance in hell of winning the leadership battle he still insisted on carrying on a "Tea Party" style popularity contest which only resulted in alienating more Labor voters.
I find it quite ironic that he was the man who came in to abolish "Work Choices" when it turned out that HE was the boss from hell.
I also think that Bill Shorten is positioning himself for a go at the leadership. I think he would be a good PM in the future, but I still think Julia Gillard is still the best person for the job. Dont forget that Bob Hawke was hardly in the parliament 5 minutes before he snatched the leadership from Bill Hayden in 1983.