Payrolls rose by 209,000 in June, less than expected, as jobs growth wobbles

[BumRushDaShow]

10. It's 2 different data sets

ADP is "private sector" employment with data gathered from their own member payroll surveys.

Methodology noted from their release (PDF) - https://adp-ri-nrip-static.adp.com/artifacts/us_ner/20230706/ADP_NATIONAL_EMPLOYMENT_REPORT_Press_Release_2023_06%20FINAL.pdf

About the ADP® National Employment ReportTM
The ADP National Employment Report is an independent estimate of the change in U.S. private
employment and pay derived from actual, anonymized payroll data of client companies served by ADP, a
leading provider of human capital management solutions. The report is produced by ADP Research Institute
in collaboration with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.

Alternately, BLS has surveys that are returned monthly that are aggregated for the releases -

Economic News Release
PRINT : Print
CPS CPS Program Links
CES CES Program Links
Employment Situation Summary

Transmission of material in this news release is embargoed until USDL-23-1498
8:30 a.m. (ET) Friday, July 7, 2023

Technical information:
Household data: [phone] * [e-mail] * www.bls.gov/cps
Establishment data: [phone] * [e-mail] * www.bls.gov/ces

Media contact: [phone] * [e-mail]


THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION -- JUNE 2023


Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 209,000 in June, and the unemployment
rate changed little at 3.6 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.
Employment continued to trend up in government, health care, social assistance, and
construction.

This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey
measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics.
The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry.
For more information about the concepts and statistical methodology used in these two
surveys, see the Technical Note.

(snip)

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

In some cases, the data to be factored in may be delayed by senders for various reasons (holidays, etc), requiring revisions to account for that at the next release.

So ADP is strictly "establishment" and counting "payroll" where BLS is looking at both "people" (and their reported "status" ) and a set of establishments (and their hiring/layoff decisions).