Hillary: how inevitable?

[dsc]

31. By any reasonable measure she is in a posiition that she is immensely likely to win

She is, in terms of name recognition, the equivalent of an incumbent. She is not only over 50% but way over 50% in every poll and has a very large lead over her next challenger in those polls. In comparison the last time she was in the high 40's in her best polls and in the low 40's in most polls. She did have a significant lead over her next best challenger but not as big as the one she has now. Last time she kept the people she had and added a very small number but still had less than 50% and thus lost. This time she could lose a significant fraction of those who say they will vote for her and still be over 50%. It is highly unlikely that we will find out something about her now, that we don't know, that would be a deal breaker for enough people to make her lose. That leaves the only option that someone comes out of nowhere and gets not only every single person who isn't thinking of voting for her but about half the people who are thinking of voting for her. I can think of no race in which that has happened or even come close to happening.