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In reply to the discussion: I think we will take back the Senate AND THE HOUSE!! Betcha!! nt [View all]Fla Dem
(27,215 posts)So even if there was a viable candidate to go up against an incumbent Republican, there is little chance of the incumbent losing the seat. I think we will pick up a few seats, but don't think we will win it back. There are currently 240 Republicans, 190 Democrats and 5 vacancies in the House. A swing of 50+ seats would be awesome, but unlikely.
Party representation at beginning of 112th Congress.
"Partisan domination of state legislatures and improved technology to design contiguous districts that pack opponents into as few districts as possible have led to district maps which are skewed towards one party. Consequently many states including Florida, Georgia, Maryland, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Texas have succeeded in reducing or effectively eliminating competition for most House seats in those states. Other states including California, New Jersey and New York have opted to protect incumbents of both parties, again reducing the number of competitive districts. The Supreme Court's ruling on the Pennsylvania gerrymander effectively cemented the right of elected officials to select their constituents by eliminating most of the grounds for disenfranchised constituents to challenge gerrymandered lines."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Redistricting
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