Will Fetterman Silence Lamb in Pennsylvania Senate Face-Off?

[Deminpenn]

132. That might be the view from 80,000 ft,

but it is not true with how the state votes.

If Philadelphians voted at the same percentage as the rest of the state, Dems would never lose, but that doesn't happen. Worked the polls there for a 4 year cycle, the best turnout came when Rendell was on the ballot for governor, otherwise, turnout was ok, but never matched the 70-80% turnout elsewhere. The Philadelphia collar counties have been turning more Dem for 20+ years now.

In the western part of the state, you have almost fanatical loyalty to candidates from that area regardless of political party and voters here vote. It gives western PA outsized influence in elections in relation to its percentage of the state's population.

Then you have the "T" where turnout is generally also high although the raw numbers are low, but where populist economic policies are also popular. In 2016, Bernie Sanders won these counties over Hillary Clinton.

This is why Fetterman is going to win. Western PA voters are going to vote for him overwhelmingly and his populist economic policies along with pledging to break the logjam in Washington is going to play well in the "T". Lots of people make the mistake of thinking Americans hate government when what they really hate is gridlock and government not working to solve their problems. This is why Tom Wolfe won re-election easily in 2018, because voters saw him as making the state government work.