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bucolic_frolic

(52,587 posts)
1. Election tallies in a local Congressional district
Sat Dec 4, 2021, 09:22 AM
Dec 2021

would be altered by not very much. I'd bet in a race where 125,000 voters cast ballots, it wouldn't diminish the (R) column by more than .4%. Because not everyone votes. .8% of all people in a district succumb to covid. (D) voters also succumb, but at a far lower rate. So I would not expect to see an advantage of more than 800-1000 votes per district, less in smaller local races. But on the margin yes it could swing a few tight races. Sometimes 10-50 votes is a lot in a local election.

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