Here's what the unvaccinated can expect from taking Ivermectin to treat Covid

[Shermann]

Joe Rogan and Aaron Rodgers famously took Ivermectin to treat their Covid infections instead of proactively getting vaccinated.

In terms of probability, here are the likely outcomes from taking the various therapeutics:

Ivermectin: survival likely
Hydroxychloroquine: survival likely
Monoclonal antibodies: survival likely
Remdesivir: survival likely
Zinc: survival likely
Vitamin C: survival likely
Vitamin D: survival likely
Drink bleach: survival likely (this is really going to suck though)
Take nothing: survival likely

Even if you have every risk factor possible, I don't know that the probability of death ever reaches 50%. That's not to downplay the risk, however.

Now Joe Rogan has attributed his recovery to his treatments. This is an example of a survivorship bias fallacy.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias

Sanjay Gupta was on Rogan's show recently and didn't call him out on this.