Manchin, Sinema, Trump, the bills, 1-6, Afghanistan had little to do with the VA disaster.
This was decided in the suburbs on immediate issues, not promises of universal pre-k and paid family leave than many will not utilize anyway. Pre-K is 1 freakin year in the life, its not a big deal for suburban parents. We live next to 2 schools and talk to parents every day, Biden voters many of them. They HATED the Covid shut downs. It is impossible to convey how much it crushed their suburban utopias. Soccer games, dance recitals gone. Kids depressed. Many moms gave up jobs to home school. Grand parents had to step in, more Biden voters caught up in the pandemic effects.
They got incensed at the world and blamed Dems. Yeah, I get it, Trump caused it, anti maskers caused it, yada yada yada. Suburbanites don't care. They saw mixed messages after mixed message out of the CDC. No matter what Dems were perceived to almost want the pandemic to continue, even AFTER vaccination.
The teachers refused to teach even after vaccination, this angered parents more. And yeah again, I get it, teachers had that right to not go into danger. But who did parents associate teachers with? Unions, Dems.
Then throw in the comments about parents in VA and curriculum rights. Throw in the Repugs pounding away that trans kids would be playing their daughters in their precious soccer matches. Throw in the Repug messaging that their kids would be taught that being white was a bad thing.
That is what cost Dems VA....that and rabid excitement for revenge among the Repugs who showed up like crazy and voted.