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Statistical

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6. States are routinely called earlier than absolute mathematical certainty.

Fri Nov 6, 2020, 07:09 PM

Nov 2020

If that was the standard the overwhelming majority of states would not have been called on election night.

Virginia was called when Trump was leading Biden and 30% of the ballots were still outstanding.

The standard never has and never will be absolute mathematical certainty. Not calling these states now is very ATYPICAL. You we can certainly debate on if this unprecedented level of absolute mathematical certainty is warranted but let's not pretend this is normal.

GA likely can't be called and probably won't until we get the final results after a recount but the other three certainly can. Calling AZ, NV, and PA would be 290 EV for Biden and provide some clarity and closure to move forward.

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The reasoning for not calling the race has gone beyond math [View all] coti Nov 2020 OP

With it being a close as it is, I think most are afraid of ending up like this -- Hoyt Nov 2020 #1

Have you done the math? VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #2

States are routinely called earlier than absolute mathematical certainty. Statistical Nov 2020 #6

Indiana always called GOP 10 MINS after polls close Captain Zero Nov 2020 #13

Because IN was not expected to be close VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #20

Recounts don't mean you don't count EVs. coti Nov 2020 #7

Incorrect - It will be called Prince99 Nov 2020 #15

Yep, because recounts typically only overturn very few votes. radius777 Nov 2020 #18

Since GA has already announced a recount VMA131Marine Nov 2020 #19

It's more important to get it right, not necessarily fast. Totally Tunsie Nov 2020 #3

I think not. PA officials have said they want a 20k lead b4 calling it. And with good reason Thekaspervote Nov 2020 #4

States don't call anything. Statistical Nov 2020 #8

Correct! The only "call" a state makes is when the sos certifies the results.... getagrip_already Nov 2020 #17

Once the margin of victory in PA is outside the recount window they'll call it (n/t) Spider Jerusalem Nov 2020 #5

You want it called for Biden, right? Towlie Nov 2020 #9

This message was self-deleted by its author marybourg Nov 2020 #10

I clearly stated they should declare for Biden coti Nov 2020 #12

Were probably 5-7 days away BannonsLiver Nov 2020 #11

Yeah, that seems an unreasonable expectation nt coti Nov 2020 #16

I hypothesize that it has been obvious since yesterday alittlelark Nov 2020 #14