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Le Roi de Pot

(744 posts) Tue Oct 20, 2020, 07:26 AM Oct 2020

Does anyone have a conditional probability model for the national election? [View all]

It is possible to build a simple Bayesian network that will update posterior probabilities given partial information ..like say Biden wins PA and Asshole wins IA. Even a Näive Bayes model will be insightful and help us absorb information as it comes in.. or play around with scenarios.

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Does anyone have a conditional probability model for the national election? [View all] Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 OP

Does this interactive thing help? soothsayer Oct 2020 #1

That helps some...really shows PA is for Democrats what FL is for Republicans Le Roi de Pot Oct 2020 #2

cook political report website has one beachbumbob Oct 2020 #3

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