Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

Showing Original Post only (View all)

Dr. Jack

(675 posts)
Wed Oct 14, 2020, 02:49 PM Oct 2020

Messing around on 538 [View all]

It's a very slow, boring day at work, so I decided to mess around on 538. Here is some fun, random information I found about the state of the Presidential election:

Electoral vote based on which candidate is leading in each state:

Biden 368
Trump 170

Electoral votes based on states that each candidate has over an 80% chance of winning

Biden 275
Trump 123

Electoral votes based on states that each candidate has over a 90% chance of winning

Biden 255
Trump 104

Interesting states that Biden has a higher percentage chance of winning than Trump has of winning the election (Trump is currently at 13%)

Iowa: 43% chance of a Biden win
Texas: 31%
Alaska: 22%

Interesting states that Biden has roughly the same odds of winning as Trump has of winning the election

South Carolina:12% chance of a Biden win
Missouri: 10%
Montana: 10%
Kansas: 7%


Projected vote totals: Experts expect about 150 million votes in this presidential election

Biden: 80,250,000
Trump 67,800,000

Biden +12,450,000 votes







5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Messing around on 538