‪Bernie may have committed a fatal error by letting Kamala go first.‬

[karynnj]

82. I doubt the timing matters

Imagine that Sanders did have an announcement -- say 2 weeks ago. What would that do? Mainly turn people saying they are for Bernie if he runs to saying they are for Bernie. Note that saying that does not mean that they can not change their minds.

Not to mention there is a real sameness to Bernie speeches. What could he say or do in an announcement that would suddenly make more people decide they are for him? In early polls, Biden and Sanders were high. I would argue that just as their name recognitions made them poll higher, they might have less upside potential.

What would cause people - not already picking them, when they know them well? The only thing I can think of is that ALL the unknowns would - upon examination - by less interesting. I honestly think that we have some great possibilities, so I think the early percents for both Biden and Sanders will decrease as new people announcing and putting out what they are for.

Whether Warren, Harris, or any of the others are first will ultimately not matter -- as people can wait to make their choice and - even then - change their minds. In fact, in Biden's case, he has the luxury of waiting but signalling he is interested. He can even make speeches on issues like cancer or anything he wants as an issue. Then, if as people enter, he loses the lead, he might decide that life as an elder statesman, former VP looks better than a tough primary. I suspect this will not be an easy primary for anyone.