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Cheezoholic

(3,384 posts)
Wed Oct 15, 2025, 11:47 AM Wednesday

Folks in the Western Caribbean and SE (including FL) Models are continuing to show a possible huirricane forming

A stalling front that is a sagging southward through the Western Caribbean could be the trigger. This is out around 10 days so it should be taken with a big grain of salt but the Models have been very persistent on this feature. Most have it forming south of Western Cuba and moving NNE very close to Jamaica then they begin to vary from up the East coast of Fl SE US and Eastern Seaboard to up through the Bahamas and out to sea.

We are also looking at a boiling hot Gulf of MEXICO and if anything forms or gets in there over the next 30-45 days (yes 45 day minimum to go!) it could explode with little warning. We've already had 2 Cat 5 hurricanes this year which is WAY above the 100 year normal but becoming the new normal. When they don't hit land people become complacent. Don't be one of those!

Hurricane season is far from over folks so keep those ears perked

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Folks in the Western Caribbean and SE (including FL) Models are continuing to show a possible huirricane forming (Original Post) Cheezoholic Wednesday OP
Sandy vibes Blues Heron Wednesday #1
Yes. Trying not to use that word lol. Long way out so low verification odds but that 00Z Euro run made my eyes pop Cheezoholic Wednesday #2
We live in costal East Central Florida. rubbersole Wednesday #3
Yes, I lived on the West Coast of FL for 15 years. Oct - Dec were the months we worried about most over there Cheezoholic Wednesday #4

Cheezoholic

(3,384 posts)
2. Yes. Trying not to use that word lol. Long way out so low verification odds but that 00Z Euro run made my eyes pop
Wed Oct 15, 2025, 12:33 PM
Wednesday

Deep cutoff low drifting ESE over the Midwest, blocking ridge over the Canadian Maritimes. Eerily similar setup to Sandy. Once again, this is 2 weeks out so even a bird fart could change things lol

rubbersole

(10,753 posts)
3. We live in costal East Central Florida.
Wed Oct 15, 2025, 01:40 PM
Wednesday

We're always worried and paying attention until December. We've been incredibly lucky since Ian dumped 19" of rain in 24 hours. The Florida West coast - not so lucky. Heaven forbid a major hurricane hits the coast. Not only the disaster that awaits the people that don't take the warnings seriously, but the non-existent home insurance (at any cost) that will follow the next major storm. It's not if, but when.

Cheezoholic

(3,384 posts)
4. Yes, I lived on the West Coast of FL for 15 years. Oct - Dec were the months we worried about most over there
Wed Oct 15, 2025, 03:45 PM
Wednesday

Heres hoping all get a break this year. Good luck!

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