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TexasTowelie

(123,363 posts)
Wed Oct 1, 2025, 01:18 PM Wednesday

FSB vs Army: Russia's Civil War - Jason Jay Smart



Vladimir Putin's purge of 17 generals has ignited a civil war between the FSB and the Army, triggering a final countdown to the collapse of Crimea. This analysis reveals how this command paralysis has shattered Russia's military logistics, as critical fuel convoys evaporate and tanks sit idle. With the army crippled from within, Crimea's air defense has been torn open by the destruction of key Nebo-M radars, creating a nightly highway for drones. This isn't just a setback; it's a systemic failure unfolding in real-time, caused directly by a political purge spiraling out of control.

This deep dive exposes the full causal sequence, showing how each court case in Moscow directly leads to a weaker trench at Perekop. We connect the dots between the isolated Black Sea Fleet, the chokepoint at the Kerch Bridge, and the empty fuel depots that signal a strategic breaking point. This is the definitive explanation of how an internal power struggle is handing a decisive advantage to Ukraine and reshaping the entire conflict.

CHAPTERS:
00:00 Intro: Inside Putin's Purge
02:11 Russia's Black Sea Retreat: Crimea's Defenses Fail
04:11 Moscow's Oil Disaster: FSB's Role in Russia's Fuel Crisis
06:03 Frontline Paralysis: Fear Freezes Russia's Supply Chain
07:11 The Math of Defeat: How Ukraine's Drones Target Supply
09:41 Conclusion: Crimea's Final 60 Days
12:04 Outro
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FSB vs Army: Russia's Civil War - Jason Jay Smart (Original Post) TexasTowelie Wednesday OP
The Russian army was underequipped and undertrained from Day One Warpy Wednesday #1

Warpy

(113,978 posts)
1. The Russian army was underequipped and undertrained from Day One
Wed Oct 1, 2025, 02:36 PM
Wednesday

Remember how they found dead soldiers in that huge convoy? Poor buggers had packed their dress uniforms for their parade but no spare food, water, fuel, or ammunition, Many were found to be conscripts, something that was illegal under Russian law and which meant they'd had no training.

I've noticed that few of the people he's purged have replacements unless he's very quietly replacing them with FSB operatives and that will work even less well than failing to replace them, at all.

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