Here are the Texas state House races that Democrats and Republicans think they can flip
Democrats’ targets
Among Democrats’ top targets are a pair of Republican-controlled House districts where, under the current boundaries, Democrat Joe Biden would have received more votes than Republican Donald Trump in 2020.
In south San Antonio, Democrats are targeting GOP state Rep. John Lujan, who flipped his traditionally Democratic seat in a 2021 special election and won a full term the following year, even as O’Rourke carried the district over Abbott. Lujan is facing off against Kristian Carranza, a Democratic organizer who grew up in the area.
Democrats are also trying to reclaim a Rio Grande Valley district held by state Rep. Janie Lopez, R-San Benito, who won the seat by about 4 points in 2022. Lopez decisively outraised her Democratic challenger, former Cameron County justice of the peace Jonathan Gracia, in the latest campaign finance reporting period, and is headed into the final weeks of the race with nearly five times as much cash on hand.
Democrats also hope to unseat the only two Republicans representing Dallas County in the House: Reps. Angie Chen Button of Richardson and Morgan Meyer of University Park. Both are part of the GOP’s moderate faction but have given Democrats plenty of fodder with their support for school vouchers and the state abortion ban. Trump would have beaten Biden in both of those districts by less than 1 percentage point.
Also on Democrats’ shortlist are several more challenging targets in the Austin and Dallas suburbs, as well as a San Antonio district where in the March primary right-wing conservative Marc LaHood ousted Steve Allison, the moderate Republican incumbent, in a district where school vouchers could be a deciding issue.
https://www.texastribune.org/2024/10/10/texas-house-competitive-races-vouchers-democrats-republicans/