General Discussion
Related: Editorials & Other Articles, Issue Forums, Alliance Forums, Region ForumsFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell today: "There is effectively zero net job creation in the private sector."
Link to tweet
bucolic_frolic
(55,217 posts)Is somebody telling us a fib in the White House?
Spazito
(55,578 posts)One can now expect an incoming diatribe from trump any time now.
stopdiggin
(15,477 posts)SheltieLover
(80,649 posts)I know people with degrees in IT & other disciplines, several with years of experience & solid references hoping & praying to get a Walmart or Amazon warehouse job.
AZ8theist
(7,407 posts)republianmushroom
(22,344 posts)MLWR
(1,029 posts)it will get much, much worse.
AverageOldGuy
(3,886 posts)I think he means when we total up the last ??? months the negatives and positive add up to zero.
Its all Bidens fault. And Obama. And Harris. And FDR.
And Hillarys emails.
lonely bird
(2,949 posts)The purpose of the private sector is not to employee people.
If a companys management/owners decide that the number of labor cost units to most effectively and efficiently produce profit-holding revenue is X they well employ X minus some constant. They will then bleat work smarter, not harder.
blue-wave
(5,174 posts)I could have told him that.
Johnny2X2X
(24,224 posts)The last year has been an absolute disaster for jobs and the middle class will be paying the price for years. Trump completely destroyed the greatest jobs economy in history that Biden created.
This is a catastrophe and its just starting. Its going to decimate the working class.
progree
(13,001 posts)for what the (Federal Reserve) staff thinks is "overstatement due to overcounting", there is effectively zero job creation in the private sector.
# Nonfarm PRIVATE Employment (Establishment Survey, https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0500000001?output_view=net_1mth
Monthly changes IN THOUSANDS
2024 126 135 143 63 45 78 -8 -27 142 -4 116 212 < --PRIVATE
2025 -76 40 67 99 20 -45 65 -20 68 13 72 -7 < --PRIVATE
2026 180 -129 186 < --PRIVATE
Last 3 months: 237k = 79k/month, Last 6 months: 315k = 52.5k/month
Back in December, he said the staff thinks the BLS is overestimating job growth by about 60,000 per month
https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20251210.pdf
(search for the word "distorted" where that part begins)
Anyway, so if you subtract 60k from 52.5k, you get essentially zero (actually a bit negative)
Just to be clear, he did not say or indicate that they are "cooking the books" but rather the numbers may be "distorted by very technical factors". And he did mention the big downward revision announced in September as evidence of the job numbers being overestimated.
Various articles I've seen is the one big problem as far as growth estimates too high is the birth-death model used to estimate the amount of net job creation amongst new businesses not covered by the survey.
LetMyPeopleVote
(180,023 posts)On the whole, the job market is all but frozen, with little in the way of hiring or turnover. And for recent college graduates, its even worse.
The April jobs report looks good â but thereâs rot underneath.
— TheBlackPage (Woke, DEI forever against fascism) (@theblackpage.bsky.social) 2026-04-03T17:16:38.915Z
On the whole, the job market is all but frozen, with little in the way of hiring or turnover. And for recent college graduates, itâs even worse.
www.ms.now/opinion/jobs...
https://www.ms.now/opinion/jobs-report-reaction
?resize=560,695
Overall, the job market is all but frozen, with little in the way of hiring or turnover. And for recent college graduates, its even worse, which might help explain Trumps faltering support among this cohort. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, more than 40 percent of college graduates between the ages of 22 and 27 hold jobs that typically dont require a college degree. That high a share is usually seen only during economic downturns and their immediate aftermath, and is comparable to rates seen in the aftermath of the Great Recession.....
Economists are increasingly predicting stagflation a period of low growth and high inflation for the U.S. No surprise, consumer sentiment is all but in the toilet, with the University of Michigans consumer sentiment survey at near-record lows and huge numbers of Americans say they believe the country is heading in the wrong direction.....
At the same time, the extreme corruption of the Trump administration is also giving companies a license to raise prices and otherwise treat their customers like chumps without a choice. The gutting of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has left Americans with nowhere to turn when a credit card issuer or bank does them wrong. The de facto refusal to enforce antitrust statutes will almost certainly raise costs for Americans as well.
As Ive pointed out before, Trumps economy in many ways resembles to a multi-level marketing scheme. The only people making out here are the wealthiest of the wealthy, who are benefitting from tax cuts, while Trump performs his lifelong serial con bait and switch on the rest of us. This months job numbers are almost certainly offering more of the same they look good on first glance, but dig beneath the surface, and the rot quickly becomes apparent.