Hurricane Melissa - NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL - 1100 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 2025
2:00 PM EDT Mon Oct 27
Location: 16.5°N 78.3°W
Moving: WNW at 3 mph
Min pressure: 906 mb
Max sustained: 175 mph
Category 5 Melissa is moving slowly west-northwestward + expected to turn northward later today.
Catastrophic + life-threatening winds, flooding + storm surge are expected on Jamaica tonight + early
Tuesday...
Key Messages:
1. Jamaica: DO NOT venture out of your safe shelter. Catastrophic
+ life-threatening flash flooding + numerous landslides are likely
today through Tuesday. Catastrophic winds in the eyewall have
the potential to cause total structural failure especially in higher
elevation areas tonight + early Tuesday. This will result in extensive
infrastructural damage, long-lasting power + communication outages
for isolated communities. Life-threatening storm surge + damaging
waves are expected along the southern coast through Tuesday.
2. Haiti + the Dominican Republic: Catastrophic + life-threatening
flash flooding + landslides are expected across southwestern Haiti
+ southern parts of the Dominican Republic through midweek In Haiti,
extensive infrastructural damage + isolation of communities is likely.
Tropical storm conditions are expected late Tuesday + Wednesday.
3. Eastern Cuba: Heavy rainfall w/ life-threatening + potentially
catastrophic flash flooding + landslides is expected beginning today.
Life-threatening storm surge + damaging winds are expected late
Tuesday + Tuesday night. Preparations should be rushed to completion.
4. Southeast Bahamas + the Turks + Caicos: Hurricane conditions,
life-threatening storm surge + heavy rainfall are possible on
Wednesday. Residents should follow advice given by local officials
+ be sure to have preparations complete by Tuesday night.
FORECAST POSITIONS + MAX WINDS
INIT 27/1500Z 16.4N 78.2W 145 KT 165 MPH
12H 28/0000Z 16.9N 78.3W 145 KT 165 MPH
24H 28/1200Z 17.8N 77.9W 140 KT 160 MPH
36H 29/0000Z 19.1N 76.9W 110 KT 125 MPH
48H 29/1200Z 20.8N 75.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
60H 30/0000Z 23.0N 73.7W 85 KT 100 MPH
72H 30/1200Z 25.9N 71.2W 85 KT 100 MPH
96H 31/1200Z 34.3N 63.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
120H 01/1200Z 42.8N 50.0W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP