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BeyondGeography

(40,704 posts)
Sun Oct 19, 2025, 04:36 AM Sunday

Xi Jinping is preparing to go toe to toe with Donald Trump - and there will only be one winner

Beijing has realised that reckless America First policies are alienating old and new friends alike, creating a vacuum it can fill

Holding court for the cameras in Sharm el-Sheikh last week, a manically self-congratulatory Donald Trump, Gaza’s make-believe saviour, hailed his fellow “tough guys” – tame tyrants, such as Egypt’s Abdel Fatah al-Sisi, who helped fabricate his flimsy Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal. Yet later this month, the American pharaoh-president is due to face a far less biddable tough guy: China’s leader, Xi Jinping. Bookmakers may withhold odds on the outcome. In the US-China race for 21st-century primacy, Xi is sprinting ahead, assisted by spur-heeled Trump’s many missteps.

It’s amazing that debate still rages, in the UK and US, about the character and aims of China’s expansionist regime. Its aggressive, worldwide economic empire-building, suppression of basic rights in Hong Kong, Xinjiang and Tibet, regional sabre-rattling and ubiquitous cyber-espionage, allow only one conclusion. Even as British MPs argued over whether Beijing is an enemy or an investment opportunity, Xi was providing an unequivocal answer. China’s drastically expanded global export controls on rare-earth minerals and magnets, over which it exercises a near monopoly, are the deliberately damaging act of a hostile power. These materials are essential for manufacturing most electronic devices, including phones and cars. The security implications are alarming. Rare-earth products are used in cruise missiles, combat jets, nuclear submarines, drones and other modern weapons systems. China’s new rules will prohibit their use for any military purpose. Governments are scrambling to find alternative supplies. This embargo, if enforced next month, potentially compromises western arms supplies to Ukraine and defences against Russia, Beijing’s ally.

China also intends to control use of these materials by overseas-based manufacturers and supply chains. The US has asserted similar extraterritorial jurisdiction since 1959. Now Beijing is playing Washington at its own imperious game — and weaponising trade for political purposes. Trump blew a fuse when the measures were announced, threatening 100% tariffs and cancellation of his planned meeting with Xi. Amid market panic, he backed off. But tit-for-tat trade penalties continue, stoking fears of global economic downturn. As usual, Trump has no plan, no idea what he’s doing. Not so Xi. He is demonstrating that if Trump insists on a full-blown trade war, he will go toe-to-toe with the White House windbag. The rare-earths diktat could be a negotiating tactic, or a side-product of Chinese Communist party (CCP) politicking. But that’s probably wishful thinking. Analysts detect a fundamental shift. After initially biding his time, Xi is going on the offensive.

What has caused the shift? It’s the realisation in Beijing that Trump’s reckless America First policies are alienating old and new friends alike, creating a vacuum it can fill. US global influence and leverage is plummeting, reflected in disrupted alliances in Europe and Asia, weakness in confronting authoritarian regimes in Russia and Israel, the virtual elimination of US foreign aid and soft-power outreach, and contempt for the UN and the international rules-based order.

China is staring at an open goal. Hardheaded Xi plays airhead Trump: it’s an embarrassing mismatch. Yet the slower-witted in Washington still don’t get it. “The president of the United States has far more cards than the People’s Republic of China,” JD Vance crowed last week. It would be rewarding to play the vice-president at poker. Does Vance realise, for example, that – to quote the Center for Strategic and International Studies – “China [with unlimited access to rare minerals] is rapidly scaling up its munitions manufacturing capacity and acquiring advanced weapons platforms at a rate estimated to be five to six times faster than that of the US”? Does Vance realise the US is losing the tariff fight it started? “Since Trump launched the trade war this year, Chinese exporters have had considerable success finding new markets. Last month, China’s year-over-year exports to the US fell by 27%, but exports as a whole were still up by 8.3%,” noted James Palmer in Foreign Policy. In contrast, US farmers have lost their crucial China soya bean market to Brazilian producers, perhaps permanently. With the holiday season approaching, American consumers face rising prices. Most toys and up to 90% of Christmas goods sold in the US are made in China.

More at https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2025/oct/19/donald-trump-xi-jinping-china-trade-tariffs-us-beijing?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
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Xi Jinping is preparing to go toe to toe with Donald Trump - and there will only be one winner (Original Post) BeyondGeography Sunday OP
Big rec Celerity Sunday #1
Thanks for sharing this, BeyondGeography. ... littlemissmartypants Sunday #2
But, but what about Karoline Leavitt's machine gun lips? rubbersole Sunday #3
China's goal is to be the sole global superpower. Irish_Dem Sunday #4

littlemissmartypants

(30,348 posts)
2. Thanks for sharing this, BeyondGeography. ...
Sun Oct 19, 2025, 07:32 AM
Sunday

Simon Tisdall certainly has a way with words. It made the content a little less nerve racking.

"the White House windbag" is a moniker that I hadn't seen before.

Thanks again.



❤️

rubbersole

(10,753 posts)
3. But, but what about Karoline Leavitt's machine gun lips?
Sun Oct 19, 2025, 07:50 AM
Sunday

And Hegseth having junior high school pep rallies for our military leaders. (All our adversaries are moving against us on all fronts. Why not?)

Irish_Dem

(76,516 posts)
4. China's goal is to be the sole global superpower.
Sun Oct 19, 2025, 08:06 AM
Sunday

And leave the US in the dust.
A US that is destroying itself from within.
With the help of China and Russia.

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