'Be ready to move quickly to higher ground': Forecaster delivers ominous warning of 1-in-1,000-year flood coming

[milestogo]

Forecasters have warned of historic flooding in the central US this week, anticipating multiple bouts of heavy rainfall and extreme thunderstorms.

The central U.S. could experience historic flash flooding this week as torrential rains and thunderstorms repeatedly strike the same areas, forecasters have announced. Weather website AccuWeather has warned of the potential for a 1-in-1,000-year flood across northeastern Arkansas to western Kentucky, with the worst-hit areas to receive the equivalent of four months' worth of rain in just five days. In some cases, this will fall on areas that could be vulnerable to flooding, having already received a great deal of rainfall in recent months.

"We're concerned about the risk of life-threatening and historic flash flooding, which could evolve into a major river flooding event," Jonathan Porter, chief meteorologist at AccuWeather, said in a statement. "Dangerous situations can escalate to life-threatening emergencies in a matter of seconds with a flash flooding threat as serious as this." Heavy rain is expected to fall from Wednesday night (April 2) through Sunday (April 6), leading to widespread flash flooding, particularly in the Lower Ohio Valley, Mid-South, and Arkansas, according to the National Weather Service.

The rain is flowing into the central U.S. from the tropics on an atmospheric river — a long, thin region of the atmosphere that transports heat and water vapor. The movement of water is expected to slow down and effectively stall between now and the weekend, resulting in a massive deluge of rain in the same few areas.

"A big area of high pressure off the coast of the Southeast U.S. will funnel moisture from the Caribbean and Gulf into parts of the central U.S.," Porter said. "The weather pattern will look like a traffic jam in the atmosphere, with repeating thunderstorms and downpours over the same areas. This is a recipe for big flooding problems."

https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/flooding/be-ready-to-move-quickly-to-higher-ground-forecaster-delivers-ominous-warning-of-1-in-1-000-year-flood-coming-for-central-us?

[ProfessorGAC]

1. I Saw Paducah Kentucky Is Bracing For...

...15 inches of rain today through Sunday. 3.75" a day for an area that already down in a hole.
Yikes!

[milestogo]

3. OMG.

And they want to do away with FEMA.

[ProfessorGAC]

7. One Of The Guys I Play Golf With...

...has a sister near Paducah. He's nervous for her.

[yardwork]

15. He should be.

Western North Carolina is still trying to recover from Hurricane Helene. People living on tops of mountains a thousand miles from the coast thought they were safe from floods. None of us are.

[brakester]

43. Western North Carolina

has years and $millions needed to recover.
We are still devastated!

[NotHardly]

13. Correction: Trump did away with FEMA

[Tickle]

22. Fema still exists

Rumpy wants to reform it, but for now your friend's sister will get help

[Traildogbob]

27. Unless

Noem can flicker her eyelashes at trump and get her wish to end it. Maybe she will wear her white tee she sported for the El Salvador prisoners, and show some boob to the rapist for his approval of her comments to END FEMA.

[Tickle]

29. 😂 help me wipe away the image

your post put in my head

[Traildogbob]

31. Sorry.

Just the image of His mug on media every damn second is nauseous enough.

[brakester]

42. The New Republic just wrote

about the government not sending promised FEMA funds to 23 states with progressive AGs.

"The Trump Administration Just Violated Another Court Order"

https://newrepublic.com/post/193650/trump-administration-just-violated-another-court-order

[RussBLib]

18. We got 11" rain last Friday

....on South Padre Island. Harlingen had 28"!!

I keep an eye on the local weather forecasters and they saw that low pressure system in Mexico building and thought that South Texas might get an inch of rain. 20" in Weslaco, 16" in McAllen, flooded out cars everywhere, reminded me of the olden days in Houston. They were all WAY off the mark.

https://russblib.blogspot.com/

[ProfessorGAC]

24. Wow!

28"!
I've been to Harlingen a couple times. The commuter flight schedule lined up better than Brownsville. Normally, I'd go to Brownsville.
Over 2 feet of rain is incredible.

[bluestarone]

2. WOW! Plus we now have NO FEMA!!

Way to go DEATH PANEL RETHUGS!!!!

[bucolic_frolic]

4. FEMA replace with YOYO

YOYOWU You're on your own without us.

Donold to send paper towels.

[bluestarone]

35. I LIKE!

[JBTaurus83]

5. Best of luck to these

red states with the recovery efforts. The federal government is becoming a shell.

[Aristus]

6. Thank God they got rid of FEMA.

Can you imagine the horror that would come with victims of the flood getting food, blankets, shelter, and medical care? It would be the end of civilization! People in pain and distress shouldn't be subjected to kindness, concern, and God forbid, EMPATHEEEEEEEEEEEE!

Sweet Saint Ayn Rand! Let it not be so!

Anyone needing the 'sarcasm' emoji here should get their brains checked...

[Xavier Breath]

8. Clearly they have a much more effective response in mind.

[milestogo]

9. Mitch McConnell and Rand Paul are going to be human sandbags.

[AZ8theist]

11. The slim-downed and newly "EFFICIENT" FEMA, thanks to Elon, has a plan:

They'll deliver help by the truckloads:

[dchill]

25. To be fair, that's a pretty big box for thoughts and prayers...

Maybe they were going to add some toilet paper but switched at the last minute for the cheaper TP option.

[RussBLib]

10. Is that why they are cutting NOAA, etc?

....they don't want us to see how bad things are gonna get.

https://russblib.blogspot.com/

[milestogo]

12. We don't need no stinkin' NOAA and we don't need no stinkin' FEMA.

We can just float away and die.

[WinstonSmith4740]

23. Well, let's face facts.

According to MAGAts, a big part of the fun of a Catagory 4 hurricane is not knowing it's coming. Same with any of Mother Nature's nastier moods. I mean, you'll know it's there when the tornado tears the roof off of your house. It's not like you could have stopped it or anything, so why do you need to know it's coming?

[brakester]

45. This harkens back to an ad in the 1970s

Stupid product, but you get the point.

It keeps running in my mind lately.

[dchill]

26. If it doesn't advance greed and cruelty, they don't need it.

[travelingthrulife]

44. Well, they wrote laws forbidding the words 'climate change' in public documents.

It would stand to reason.

[lame54]

14. There is only one thing Trump can do about this...

Golf

[Mountainguy]

16. I guess

"Good luck to all the red states in middle America."

Millennium level flooding and no federal assistance coming.

[brakester]

46. The ghouls

want to kill us all and create an empty continent and bring back Manifest Destiny.

[Orrex]

17. Better buckle up for some martial law

[in2herbs]

21. I don't know if you are saying that in jest, but I believe F47 will declare martial law in the coming

days.

[SammyWinstonJack]

32. Why would he do that? Based on what?

[Orrex]

34. All it would take is one brown "looter"

[SammyWinstonJack]

38. Do you really think he would do this?

[Orrex]

39. Are you asking the question in good faith?

Of course he would do it. At this stage, can there be any serious doubt?

[SammyWinstonJack]

41. Yes I was. Sorry. Thanks for replying

[brakester]

47. Or a violent MAGA

hidden in a peaceful protest to break some windows.

[in2herbs]

19. Are these weather events with no FEMA assistance going to be what it takes to open MAGA eyes??? nt

[Quixote1818]

20. Thousand year floods are more like 50 year floods now with climate change nt

[Strelnikov_]

37. Not quite yet, maybe, but by the end of the century more than likely.

My rice bowl included doing some work on extrapolating projected (future) AEPD's from current (baseline) AEPD's based on streamflow statistics (the standard) and projected rainfall models.

This work was upper central US.

RCP 8.5 by the end of the century, baseline 500 yr. (0.2 AEPD) (statistics 1950-2010) shifts to a 25 yr. event more or less (20x increase in frequency!).

We may be well on our way to RCP 12.0, not modeled, since it was considered 'too extreme' (or Armageddon from a flood frequency standpoint).

Of course, we don't have to wait, the Flow Frequency shifts are happening now.

FEMA in late 2024 passed a rule requiring that the baseline 500 yr. be used going forward as the 'Base Flood' in lieu of the baseline 100 yr. traditionally used. An Orange Julius EO killed that off.

If they don't want to mitigate CO2 increases, so be it. But not using science to adapt is, well, idiotic. Basically, any construction in the 'floodplain' using baseline statistics is obsolete the day it is built.

[Bayard]

28. My MAGA brother says its China's fault

They are seeding our clouds. The balloon last year was a trial run.

What can I say? He's my little brother.

[BadgerKid]

30. Maybe Trump can call off Russia's weather control system.

[magicarpet]

33. This recent Wisconsin election was quite the slap in the face,...

... to pResident Musk + trDUMP.

Expect more rash behavior from them forthwith now that their regime has been so publicly forced to march backwards. Djt gets ruthlessly vindictive when his absolute authority comes under question. Rash behavior should be on the menu.

[elocs]

40. Musk & Trump have one big thing in common: they both hate America.

Their goal is to rape America of everything they can steal from it. I sure wish we Democrats and those on the Left had been more vigilant in defending our democracy rather than underestimating Trump and his maga cult, thinking they were nothing more than stupid stolen election whiners while for years they have been planning what is happening now.

[bluestarone]

36. You don't know how much i wish this was

Mar a lago.

[brakester]

48. Tsunami warning

for southern FL!

JUST JOKING!
I really don't wish that on anyone.