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DemocratSinceBirth

(100,832 posts) Wed Apr 2, 2025, 08:07 PM Wednesday

If it precipitates a global depression.

5 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

There is a non-zero probability TSF's tariffs brings down prices (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Wednesday OP

I was Codifer Wednesday #2

Non-zero probability means exactly that BlueSpot Wednesday #4

I think stagflation is more likely, radius777 Wednesday #5

(2,228 posts)

1. If something has a non-zero probability of happening, doesn't that mean there's a chance it happens? n/t

Wed Apr 2, 2025, 09:03 PM

Wednesday

(925 posts)

2. I was

Wed Apr 2, 2025, 09:43 PM

Wednesday

thinking a negative number but that is probably not possible.

(53,892 posts)

3. Yes. Economic Depressions are noted for deflation of asset prices. Home values decline, wages decline. . . nt

Wed Apr 2, 2025, 10:14 PM

Wednesday

(1,035 posts)

4. Non-zero probability means exactly that

Wed Apr 2, 2025, 10:37 PM

Wednesday

It could happen. But the choice of words tends to suggest is remains highly unlikely.

(3,917 posts)

5. I think stagflation is more likely,

Wed Apr 2, 2025, 11:58 PM

Wednesday

as inflation is already sticky, and if it surges while the job market collapses - the Fed could be out of options.