KAMALA HARRIS'S LEAD GROWS AS TRUMP CAMPAIGN STALLS

[applegrove]

KAMALA HARRIS’S LEAD GROWS AS TRUMP CAMPAIGN STALLS

JASON EASLEY KAMALA HARRIS, TOP NEWS WED, OCT 16TH, 2024

https://www.politicususa.com/2024/10/16/kamala-harriss-lead-grows-as-trump-campaign-stalls.html

"SNIP.........

Two new polls show Vice President Kamala Harris adding support as Donald Trump’s campaign looks stalled.

2020’s most accurate tracking poll TIPP has Harris leading Trump 50%-46%, “Vice President Kamala Harris’s lead over former President Donald Trump expanded slightly in the national popular vote. According to the latest TIPP tracking poll of 1,248 likely voters conducted online from Sunday, October 13, to Tuesday, October 15, Harris now leads Trump 50% to 46%. The survey has a margin of error of +/-2.8 points.”

The latest Marist survey includes voters who are leaning toward a candidate and found, “Harris (52%) leads Trump (47%) among likely voters nationally, including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate. Earlier this month, two points separated Harris (50%) and Trump (48%) among likely voters. The contest is tighter among registered voters. Among the general electorate, Harris receives 51% to 48% for Trump. In early October, the same margin separated Harris (50%) and Trump (47%) among the broader electorate.”

It is the time of year when leaners need to be accounted for. Registered voters might be the most reliable metric, but the electorate is going to be made up of more voters than just those who voted last time.

.............SNIP"

[BOSSHOG]

1. Imagine there's no electoral college, it's easy if we try

Thank You for the data My Friend. It’s greatly appreciated.

[applegrove]

2. Yes. It was nice to see.

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

3. I keep on saying that I think this election will make

1964 look like a squeaker.

[Jmb 4 Harris-Walz]

4. Why don't the polls compound onto each other?

I mean, polls that were taken from within the last month all be added together. That would increase the sampling size. With a country of nearly 350 million people a sample of 12 hundred is hardly indicative of the whole.