Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Odds of Winning in Every Major Poll This Week

[Peacetrain]

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-kamala-harris-odds-winning-every-major-poll-this-week-1967968

Here's how they performed in major polls this week.


Ipsos/Reuters Poll (October 4-7)
An Ipsos/Reuters poll conducted from October 4 to 7 among 969 likely voters shows Harris with a 3-point lead over Trump, holding 46 percent support compared to Trump's 43 percent.

Trump trailed 6 points in a similar Ipsos poll from September 20 to 23. The improvement suggests the race is tightening as he seeks to make inroads with key voter groups.

YouGov/Economist Poll (October 6-7)
A YouGov/Economist poll conducted between October 6 and 7 with 1,230 likely voters places Harris 4 points ahead, with 49 percent support compared to Trump's 45 percent. Harris's support has increased slightly by one percentage point from the previous YouGov survey. Trump's numbers remained steady at 45 percent, reflecting consistent backing from his base but struggles in reaching beyond it.

The New York Times/Siena College Poll (September 29 - October 6)
A survey by The New York Times/Siena College, conducted from September 29 to October 6 among 3,385 likely voters, shows Harris leading by 3 points, with 49 percent support against Trump's 46 percent. This is a positive shift for Harris compared to a mid-September poll that had the two candidates tied at 47 percent. This survey is often considered one of the more reliable indicators of national sentiment, highlighting evolving voter dynamics.

[Lovie777]

1. Well Cohen and Silver are sorta backpedaling in I assume recent articles......

[Peacetrain]

2. It has me going around in circles at times

The same news source on certain days will have both Trump and Harris ahead in competing articles.. but I thought this was good because it had four of the bigger one that are current..

[Wiz Imp]

3. Another Terrible Headline

This article talks about the projected vote shares based on the recent polls. That is not "odds of winning". Nowhere does it show any odds of winning for either one of them. People like 538 or Nate Silver publish odds of winning.