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Ellipsis

(9,388 posts)
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:24 PM Nov 2022

Final NBC News poll before midterms. Generic Congressional Vote: Dems 48% - Repubs 47%.

https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read/nbc-news-poll-democrats-catch-gop-enthusiasm-rcna55859

The final national NBC News poll of the 2022 midterms finds a highly competitive campaign landscape ahead of Election Day. While Democrats have pulled even with Republicans in enthusiasm, President Joe Biden remains unpopular, and voters express deep dissatisfaction about the state of the country.

Forty-eight percent of likely voters say they prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress as the outcome of Tuesday’s elections, while 47% prefer a Republican-controlled Congress.

That’s a reversal from October, when 48% preferred a GOP-controlled Congress versus 47% who wanted Democrats in charge, although the shift is well within the poll’s margin of error.
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Zambero

(9,882 posts)
1. I'll take it
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:32 PM
Nov 2022

Add in the Roe effect and Trump's abhorrent extremist road show for all to see, along with the early-voting advantage, and this match-up is far from over!

Demsrule86

(71,256 posts)
6. I agree...I posted positve polls and explained some of the egregious bad polls could we lose?
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:35 PM
Nov 2022

Yes, it could happen. But we could win too...and those polls that counted us out in the last several weeks were wrong regardless of the outcome.

tavernier

(14,006 posts)
2. If it was ten to one either way
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:33 PM
Nov 2022

They would still call it a horse race.
“profit is their most important product”

Maeve

(43,310 posts)
3. "...the shift is well within the poll's margin of error."
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:33 PM
Nov 2022

This has been true of a vast number of the polls we've seen this year; the margin of error is seldom mentioned in any of the media's reports (until the very bottom, at least).

The only poll that matters will be tallied after it closes Tuesday. If you haven't done so yet--get out and vote!!

Freethinker65

(11,201 posts)
4. Hard for me to believe that American females ...
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:33 PM
Nov 2022

...American females (and American males in relationships with those females a/o those that have daughters) would vote for a party that wants to ban abortion, reproductive healthcare, and family planning Nationally. Taking away freedoms will cascade if the GOP gets back in power, especially as GOP primary winner nominees are tending to support their version of Christian theocracy in which all matters are decided by the monied ruling, primarily white, class and all others must obey or be threatened and suffer the consequences.

Deminpenn

(17,034 posts)
5. Voters are quite capable of holding two or more different views at once
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:33 PM
Nov 2022

They might not like Biden for various reasons ranging from "not doing enough" to "doing too much" and everything in between.

People might be mad about the rising cost of everything, too.

But they can also recognize that not everything they don't like is because of Biden or Democrats. In other words, presidential approval/disapproval is not necessarily a good proxy for how people will vote.

Kaleva

(40,010 posts)
7. Things are looking a whole lot better then some months ago.
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:35 PM
Nov 2022

Before SCOTUS overturned Roe v. Wade and other events, it looked like a sure thing Rs would take the House and they had a good chance at the Senate too.

bigtree

(92,989 posts)
9. after a year of telling us that Dems are doomed, and NBC is still working it
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:40 PM
Nov 2022

...their final poll says 'either party can win.'

Hacks.

Fiendish Thingy

(20,988 posts)
10. I hope they report raw national vote totals for R's and D's, not just seats won.
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:50 PM
Nov 2022

That’s the only way to compare actual results to a national generic ballot poll.

Lovie777

(20,697 posts)
11. Ya know when they state that the country's dissatisfaction of the state of the country .....
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:50 PM
Nov 2022

do they realize that (in my opinion) it's directed at GQP as well. As to being unpopular, Pres Biden is doing pretty well considering the constant trashing by the corporate media wherein they rarely mention his accomplishments and yet Democrats are doing well considering media boasting about "red wave" for over a year.

Damn.

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)
14. Evaluation from conservative Bill Kristol this morning:
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 12:59 PM
Nov 2022
"Hey, don't want to interrupt my Democratic friends when they're engaged in their favorite sports of The Gnashing of Teeth and The Tearing of Garments, but it looks as if the Democratic Party will have the best midterm performance by a party in the White House in two decades."

And for a smile (DO smile!), Kristol responding to a tRump-endorsed MAGA TX candidate -- remember Rump's WH physician?!


 

Sky Jewels

(9,148 posts)
15. I wonder if the media is reluctantly starting to shift away from "DEMS WILL BE CRUSHED!!!!!"
Sun Nov 6, 2022, 01:09 PM
Nov 2022

narrative now that they see that the red wave is probably not gonna happen, despite their best efforts.

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