According to the latest polls, control of the Senate is a toss-up. My hope is that there is a

[JohnSJ]

large group of demographics missed in these polls that consist of women, young people, and minorities that have not been adequately accounted for because assumptions have been made regarding lower voting turnout in midterms, with the assumption that younger people are less likely to participate, and women have been under-represented in these polls.

The fact that early voting in Georgia is at record numbers for the midterms, gives me some hope that this will not be the usual lower voter turnout for the midterms.

If the midterm races in the Senate are as close as the polls seem to indicate, election night will be a long night, and I anticipate if that is the case, if Democrats win in close races, the repukes will cry foul, and it will get very ugly. If we win by a substantial margin, I think that will be less likely to happen.

[Joe Cool]

1. Fetterman is going to win

I am in Pennsylvania and there is zero enthusiasm for Oz except among the GOPee faithful.

[ITAL]

4. I was just in rural PA visiting the In-Laws

Seemed like a lot of enthusiasm to me. I hope Fetterman wins, but that trip made me concerned.

[SoCalDavidS]

6. TV "Celebrities" & Football Athletes/Coaches Apparently Know What's Best For America

That's why I continue to say America is FUCKED.

[Botany]

2. Ever since the SCOTUS struck down Roe the Ds have won elctions in Kansas, Alaska, and NY state.

Roevember is coming.

[TheBlackAdder]

26. I have a feeling a lot of survey people are hiding their position on Roe for fear of backlash.

.

They might say one thing to a blind and unknown survey person, whom they have no real idea how that information will be used, or they might say one thing exiting the polling place when others can overhear.

.

[pwb]

3. I am looking for that all Women poll?

.

[SoCalDavidS]

5. If Control Of Senate Is A Tossup, We're In Big Trouble In The House

The Senate was supposed to be the easier path of the two.

[JohnSJ]

9. not necessarily. I think it is very difficult to get a handle on where things really stand.

[SoCalDavidS]

11. Well, McConnell Doesn't Seem Thrilled With Their Candidates

I haven't gotten much of an impression that he expects to be Majority Leader next year.

His dipshit counterpart in the House, on the other hand, is Kissing some major TFG Ass, with the expectation that it will pay off if they win control.

[JohnSJ]

12. I don't think anyone really knows. There is too many cross winds

[Marius25]

7. 538 still lists the Senate as a 62% chance for Dems to keep

[Polybius]

15. Which is considerably down from a month ago

Wonder where it will be in early November.

[Marius25]

17. Hard to say, but millions of people are already voting

My family and I already voted straight blue.

[Polybius]

22. Down to 59% now

Dropping fast.

[BlueCheeseAgain]

23. Not sure how much I trust their models...

But you're right, it's on its way down.

Dem chances started at 40% in June 1, rose to a peak of 72%, and are now down to 59%.

[Polybius]

28. 57% now

Yikes.

[qazplm135]

8. If by control you mean 50-50 or better

polling would seem to indicate that's the most likely outcome with a hold in GA, a pickup in PA, and a possible loss in NV and everything else status quo.

Of course, polling could be off.

We won't know til election day if not beyond.

[JohnSJ]

10. Nevada is rated as a tossup as is Ohio, and with Grassley at 90 years old, and a higher

disapproval than approval rating, it might be the wild card no one sees as could be Val Demmings, with both within three points of deeply red states

[SoCalDavidS]

13. This NV News Troubles Me

Hopefully Ryan can make it close in OH, which now appears to be more and more a solid Red State.

I think Iowa will keep voting for Grassley until he kicks the bucket, much like Strom Thrurmond kept winning. So long as they can wheel him in on a gurney, he'll have a seat if he wants it. Again, Iowa, more and more a Red State, with little hope of changing anytime soon. IMO.

[JohnSJ]

14. I know. I remember when Iowa was a reliable blue state

[SoCalDavidS]

16. Honestly, I'd Wish The Democrats Would Pull The Ridiculous Iowa Caucuses

Why do we reward them with all the attention as one of the first places to vote every 4 years? At least New Hampshire is somewhat purple. Move it to AZ or even NV.

[JohnSJ]

20. I hate the caucus primary. It is a discriminatory system, and has no purpose in a Democracy

w where 1 vote, 1 person, and a secret ballot

[qazplm135]

21. If we go by polling

then I don't see it.

But of course, if polling is off...

[BlueCheeseAgain]

24. I'm not optimistic about Ohio or Iowa.

Those are red states these days. It would just be weird if Ohio had virtually no statewide Democratic elected officials, R majorities in the state legislature and House delegation, and then two Dem senators.

I don't understand why Wisconsin isn't considered more of a pickup opportunity. Ron Johnson is awful, and Dems frequently win statewide there.

[JohnSJ]

25. Wisconsin is a toss up also

[Demsrule86]

27. Tim Ryan has a good chance and it is an open seat...taking down a sitting Senator is very hard...

But I still think we do have a shot. These polls are not using proper demographics and in my opinion, are attempting to discourage Democratic voters. Don't listen Roevember is coming and Abortion rights are on every ballot in every state. A pink wave is coming.

[Poiuyt]

18. A couple of months ago, I thought for sure that we'd take Wisconsin

Now it looks like it's slipping through our fingers. Barnes and his campaign are just not attacking Johnson like they should.

[JohnSJ]

19. From destroying social security, to no exception abortions, the issues are quite clear.