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JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
Wed May 18, 2022, 09:05 AM May 2022

Unless we can get a handle on gas prices, we are going to have an uphill battle in the midterms

Energy cost are driving inflation in every sector

"In the months leading up to the Covid-19 pandemic, U.S. oil production hit an all-time high of just below 13 million barrels per day (BPD). As the pandemic unfolded, demand collapsed, and production followed. By May 2020, oil production had dropped by more than 3 million BPD to 9.7 million BPD.

Since then, demand has recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Oil production, however, has only partially recovered. The most recent data available from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows current U.S. oil production at ~11.6 million BPD — still 1.4 million BPD short of pre-pandemic production. This shortfall is a major factor that led to the run-up of oil and gasoline prices over the past year.

When the pandemic crushed oil demand in 2020, some oil companies went out of business. Some small stripper wells — which accounts for a respectable amount of U.S. oil production — were permanently capped given the bleak outlook. Some workers left the oil industry.

Now, with oil prices over $100/bbl, many are questioning why production hasn’t bounced all the way back. The Biden Administration has pointed fingers at the oil industry, stating they have stockpiled 9,000 permits they aren’t using. The oil industry says that the problem — in part — is hostile policies of the Biden Administration.

Setting politics aside, here is what we know. The part about the oil industry stockpiling permits — mostly ahead of President Biden taken office — is true. I have reported on this before. However, that doesn’t mean they are sitting on them."

https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2022/03/11/what-is-holding-back-us-oil-production/?sh=4db0b6d76b6f

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Unless we can get a handle on gas prices, we are going to have an uphill battle in the midterms (Original Post) JohnSJ May 2022 OP
IMO there is no industry more corrupt than fossil fuel companies. I personally walkingman May 2022 #1
I believe that would require an act of Congress, and in this environment that won't happen JohnSJ May 2022 #2
The oil barons couldn't possibly be manipulating prices for profit and attempting JCMach1 May 2022 #3
Who is we? Ferrets are Cool May 2022 #4
The Democrats. Which I am one JohnSJ May 2022 #5
You are asking for something that is not feasible. Ferrets are Cool May 2022 #7
Not quite a free market. but regardless, unless prices come down, the midterms are not going to be JohnSJ May 2022 #9
As James Carville said: mitch96 May 2022 #18
this is a deliberate ploy to make mr . biden look bad . greed , greed greed. AllaN01Bear May 2022 #6
I agree, and not just the oil industry JohnSJ May 2022 #8
What exactly inthewind21 May 2022 #10
Dropping regulations won't fix this problem. We need something short term, and I would think two JohnSJ May 2022 #11
Maybe inthewind21 May 2022 #12
For freezing prices, Nixon did it with an executive order. You are right about the gas tax, which JohnSJ May 2022 #13
Gas prices will be a bigger issue then a woman's right to choose? Kaleva May 2022 #14
I hope I am wrong, and more people are motivated by the draconian actions of the republicans and the JohnSJ May 2022 #16
Gas prices, melm00se May 2022 #15
It is all politics. Chainfire May 2022 #17
You don't believe this is a controlled attack on the Biden adm and the Dems? Samrob May 2022 #19
Exactly! n/t Greybnk48 May 2022 #20
I do JustAnotherGen May 2022 #21

walkingman

(9,912 posts)
1. IMO there is no industry more corrupt than fossil fuel companies. I personally
Wed May 18, 2022, 09:11 AM
May 2022

think we should nationalize our energy production but that would go against the religion of GREED.

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
2. I believe that would require an act of Congress, and in this environment that won't happen
Wed May 18, 2022, 09:26 AM
May 2022

JCMach1

(29,000 posts)
3. The oil barons couldn't possibly be manipulating prices for profit and attempting
Wed May 18, 2022, 09:29 AM
May 2022

To defeat the party you have never supported...

That couldn't possibly happen, could it? (Deep sarcasm)

Ferrets are Cool

(22,419 posts)
7. You are asking for something that is not feasible.
Wed May 18, 2022, 09:50 AM
May 2022

The free market determines prices. Not Congress. And even if it did, the Democrats do not have the votes to pass legislation of this magnitude.

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
9. Not quite a free market. but regardless, unless prices come down, the midterms are not going to be
Wed May 18, 2022, 09:56 AM
May 2022

pretty, because we are going to get the blame for it whether justified or not.

mitch96

(15,513 posts)
18. As James Carville said:
Wed May 18, 2022, 11:54 AM
May 2022

Open up the oil reserves a month or two before the election? Somehow lower prices in other economic sectors? to help out? I don't know..
m

 

inthewind21

(4,616 posts)
10. What exactly
Wed May 18, 2022, 09:59 AM
May 2022

do you suggest WE do?

It's right there in you very own post "The oil industry says the problem, in part, is hostile policies of the Biden administration." So maybe Biden should just drop the regulations and let them run completely amok. Would that make you feel better about gas prices? It's hard for me to feel any sympathy when these same poor put upon oil companies are raking in record profits. The only way to not have this be an issue is to have the public actually understand what it going on with gas prices. And the odds of that happening are slim to none.

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
11. Dropping regulations won't fix this problem. We need something short term, and I would think two
Wed May 18, 2022, 10:02 AM
May 2022

things could be done. Temporarily removing the gas tax, and freezing prices until the situation stabilizes






 

inthewind21

(4,616 posts)
12. Maybe
Wed May 18, 2022, 10:04 AM
May 2022

But you need congress for both. Think Manchin will get on board, along with 10 Republicans?

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
13. For freezing prices, Nixon did it with an executive order. You are right about the gas tax, which
Wed May 18, 2022, 10:07 AM
May 2022

makes that unlikely to happen, though I believe Congress has been talking about a "gas tax holiday"

which I agree with you, unlikely to happen


Kaleva

(40,003 posts)
14. Gas prices will be a bigger issue then a woman's right to choose?
Wed May 18, 2022, 10:10 AM
May 2022

This election will tell us if you are correct.

 

JohnSJ

(98,883 posts)
16. I hope I am wrong, and more people are motivated by the draconian actions of the republicans and the
Wed May 18, 2022, 10:22 AM
May 2022

SC and vote them out

melm00se

(5,123 posts)
15. Gas prices,
Wed May 18, 2022, 10:20 AM
May 2022

despite what the Republicans (when the D's are in control), vice versa and anti-oil conspiracists think, are outside the control of any politician.

This is a worldwide market fed by, essentially, oil auctions and by countries who produce oil. The price is driven by the basics of supply and demand.

What makes this market rife for conspiracists is the fact that there are no real substitutes especially as it relates to vehicles. Yes, there are electric vehicles out there but totally electric vehicles are ~5% of the consumer market (and that number is far far lower when you get into the commercial vehicle market).

Before anyone starts pointing at the "record" profits that oil companies collect, it needs to be understood that profits are calculated by subtracting expenses from revenues.

Revenues = For what the goods or services are sold
Costs = What it costs to produce the goods or services.

The real number to look at is net profit (AKA Net Income) as a percentage of revenue (AKA profit margin).

If the profit margin stays the same and the revenue increases, of course profits will be up but if you look at the financial statements (you know, income statements...those documents that accountants produce?), you will see that while inflation increases revenues, inflation also impacts costs.

I was always told that everyone needs a basic grounding in business and accounting and as a young man I blew that off...but I rapidly learned that to be successful in business you need to know what levers affect what financially. Need to be a CPA? no. Know enough to interpret a balance sheet and income statement? Abso-fricking-lutely.

 

Chainfire

(17,757 posts)
17. It is all politics.
Wed May 18, 2022, 10:53 AM
May 2022

Big business trying to put Democrats out of power. The wonderful thing for the oil companies is it requires no sacrifice, in fact they are reaping record profits. It is time to nationalize the industry as vital to the security of the nation. Drug makers should be right behind them.

Samrob

(4,298 posts)
19. You don't believe this is a controlled attack on the Biden adm and the Dems?
Wed May 18, 2022, 12:00 PM
May 2022

Just look at who supported Trump here and abroad especially the oil producing tyrants.

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