General Discussion

JanMichael

(25,725 posts) Wed Dec 29, 2021, 03:15 PM Dec 2021

What % is Omicron v. Delta now? In NC we have doubled the # in hospital in 30 days.

1,000 to 2,122 people in 30 days. 4,000 is sort of our "holy f*ck we are doomed" number. Meaning try not to get in a car accident.

Those in ICU went from 287 at the end of November to 484 today. I recall our ICU holy shit # is around 1,500, maybe less I do not recall.

Back to where my question was going - is Delta the hospitalization driver or is it Omicron?

About 69% of adults are fully vaccinated in NC. 56% of the total population is vaccinated.

Daily cases hovered around 1,000 at the start of December. We had over 9,000 today.

https://covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard

Edit - if Omicron was dominant would we see the same increase in hospital #'s?

2 replies

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What % is Omicron v. Delta now? In NC we have doubled the # in hospital in 30 days. (Original Post) JanMichael Dec 2021 OP

I am pretty sure Omicron is taking over in most places drray23 Dec 2021 #1

My theory on Omicron -- FWIW. Pobeka Dec 2021 #2

drray23

(8,472 posts)

1. I am pretty sure Omicron is taking over in most places

Reply to JanMichael (Original post)

Wed Dec 29, 2021, 03:28 PM

Dec 2021

It is bad enough to send unvaccinated people to the hospital. Even if it is less potent than Delta, the fact it infects more makes up for it.

According to this recent article

In the United States, omicron represented 59% of sequenced Covid cases while delta represented 41% last week, according to CDC estimates.

Pobeka

(4,999 posts)

2. My theory on Omicron -- FWIW.

Reply to JanMichael (Original post)

Wed Dec 29, 2021, 03:43 PM

Dec 2021

I am not a virologist, but I am strong in understanding numbers.

S. Africa -- They (the virology folks) figured nearly everyone in S. Africa was either previously infected or vaccinated. Omicron came and went with very little hospitalization increases.

King County, WA (Seattle). Cases spike over double what it was at it's worst last year. Hospitalizations on the way down or flat. %vaxxed is about 84%
Pierce County, WA (Tacoma) Same situation as King County for cases. %vaxxed about 67% Hospitalizations are flat

Now, look at Marion County, Indiana (Indianapolis) Cases have started spiking again, but not yet as bad as last year. But hospitalizations are trending upward sharply now. %vaxxed is about 59%.

There are other studies I've seen (NNadir posted one from Denmark), which supports my theory, which is Omicron is only severely bad for the unvaxxed or never infected folks.

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