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brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
Mon Oct 26, 2020, 09:09 AM Oct 2020

Overcoming polling margins...

Based on 2008 turnout, overcoming a 1% difference in Florida means finding 82,000 additional votes

in Texas 79,000 votes

in Ohio 55,000 votes

in North Carolina 42,000 votes

in Georgia 39,000 votes




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Overcoming polling margins... (Original Post) brooklynite Oct 2020 OP
Isn't that an important phrase? gab13by13 Oct 2020 #1
I thought about adding 10% to 2008 to account for that... brooklynite Oct 2020 #2
wtf 2008 turn out? 2020 is going to blow those numbers away as %% of votes will break 1960 beachbumbob Oct 2020 #3
My husband and I are 2 of the NC 42,000 votes! We've already voted! BComplex Oct 2020 #4

gab13by13

(29,930 posts)
1. Isn't that an important phrase?
Mon Oct 26, 2020, 09:18 AM
Oct 2020

"based on 2008 turnout." It looks to me like we are surpassing 2008 turnout in a lot of locations.

Getting suburban women to flip party votes will also reduce the margins.

I am cautiously enthused. Wife and I voted on Oct. 13th in Pa. and made sure our ballots made it to the county election office. Pa. will be a big battleground state, I don't care what the polls are saying, it will be close in Pa. I am encouraged because I live in a Trump town and I have seen many more Biden signs in town that I saw Hillary signs. Fingers crossed.

 

brooklynite

(96,882 posts)
2. I thought about adding 10% to 2008 to account for that...
Mon Oct 26, 2020, 09:24 AM
Oct 2020

...but the number would be arbitrary. You can add whatever additional factor you want.

 

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)
3. wtf 2008 turn out? 2020 is going to blow those numbers away as %% of votes will break 1960
Mon Oct 26, 2020, 09:27 AM
Oct 2020

record of 64% participation

BComplex

(9,590 posts)
4. My husband and I are 2 of the NC 42,000 votes! We've already voted!
Mon Oct 26, 2020, 09:31 AM
Oct 2020

Hoping beyond hope that we turn NC Blue!!!!

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